Binomial Distribution | |||||
Problem Statement | |||||
A common example of a binomial distribution is the tossing of a coin and counting the number of heads. For example, what is the probability of 4 heads in 5 tosses of a coin given the probability of heads is 50%? | |||||
Number of trials (n) | |||||
Probability of success (p) | |||||
Number of successes (r) | |||||
Expected Value | |||||
Variance | |||||
P(x = r) | |||||
P(x <= r) | |||||
Normal Distribution | |||||
Problem Statement | |||||
A maintenance facility's meant time to complete an aircraft inspection is 100 hours with a standard deviation of 15 hours. The facility agreed to a contract to provide aircraft inspections in 130 hours for a large commuter fleet. What is the probability the facility will meet the contract? | |||||
mean (μ) | |||||
Standard deviation (σ) | |||||
Random variable to measure (X) | |||||
Z | |||||
P(x = X) | |||||
P(x < X) | |||||
F Distribution | |||||
Problem Statement | |||||
The F statistic is the ratio of two sample variances. Every F distribution had degrees of freedom for the numerator (df1) and denominator (df2) of the ratio. To find the F value that is associated with a particular probability and degrees of freedom, we use the following methods. In this example, df1 = 5, df2 = 6, and the probability is 0.05. The calculated f for the second part is 4.3874 | |||||
To find F given α | |||||
Numerator df1 | |||||
Denominator df2 | |||||
Probability (α) | |||||
F-value | |||||
To find the probability to the right of a calculated value, f | |||||
Numerator df1 | |||||
Denominator df2 | |||||
f | |||||
F-value | |||||
Exponential Distribution | |||||
Problem Statement | |||||
A ground crew can unload passenger bags from a 737 at a rate of about three aircraft per hour and the service time is exponentially distributed. What is the probability that the time to unload an aircraft will be 1/2 hour or less? | |||||
Avg # processed in period (μ) | |||||
Time (t) | |||||
P(t < X) | |||||
P(X <= t) | |||||
Poisson Distribution | |||||
Problem Statement | |||||
Commuter aircraft arrive to Gate 10 on average twice per hour. What is the probability that two aircraft with arrive to Gate 10 in an hour? | |||||
Avg # of arrivals per unit of time (λ) | |||||
Number of occurrences (x) | |||||
P(x = X) | |||||
P(x < X) | |||||
Result Statements | |||||
Note: Write result statements that concisely presents all of the information in a recommendation format. | |||||
Answer the questions to two decimal places (e.g., x.xx). | |||||
1. what is the probability of 4 heads in 5 tosses of a coin given the probability of heads is 50%? | |||||
2. What is the probability the facility will meet the contract? | |||||
3. What is the F value given the probability? | |||||
4. What is the probability to the right of the f value determined in the previous question? | |||||
5. What is the probability that the time to unload an aircraft will be 1/2 hour or less? | |||||
6. What is the probability that two aircraft with arrive to Gate 10 in an hour? |
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